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Monday · April 27 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARINERS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 56 degrees, overcast, wind 14 mph out to rf

Final

Mariners 4
TWINS 11

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 4–11 Twins

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Twins Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 40% 60% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 60% 38% 4–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 42% 58%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 33% 67%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 46% 53% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Twins this season

23–24

49% across 47 games