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Saturday · April 18 · 1:11 PM ✦

REDS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 39 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 19 mph out to cf

Final

REDS 5
Twins 4

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–4 Reds

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Twins Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 67% 33% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 69% 29% 5–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 48% 52%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 64% 36%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 59% 41% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

30–16

65% across 46 games

Twins this season

23–24

49% across 47 games