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Wednesday · April 15 · 12:41 PM ✦

RED SOX @ TWINS

Target Field. · 59 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from lf

Final

RED SOX 9
Twins 5

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 9–5 Red Sox

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Twins Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 67% 33% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 67% 33% 4–2
Logistic Minnesota Twins 49% 51%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 74% 26%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 60% 40% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Twins this season

23–24

49% across 47 games