Thursday · April 9 · 12:41 PM ✦
TIGERS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 45 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf
Final
Tigers
1
TWINS
3
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 1–3 Twins
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 62% | 38% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
32–13
71% across 45 games
Twins this season
23–24
49% across 47 games