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Friday · April 3 · 4:07 PM ✦

RAYS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 38 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph in from lf

Final

Rays 4
TWINS 10

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 4–10 Twins

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Twins Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 49% 51% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 29% 71% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Minnesota Twins 49% 51%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 40% 60%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 41% 59% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games

Twins this season

23–24

49% across 47 games