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Saturday · September 26 · 6:10 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Cardinals 2
BREWERS 3

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 2–3 Brewers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 46% 54% — ✓
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 50% 50% 3–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games