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Saturday · September 12 · 6:10 pm ✦

REDS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

Reds 9
BREWERS 13

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 9–13 Brewers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 42% 58% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 52% 48% 4–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games