Wednesday · September 9 · 6:40 pm ✦
CUBS @ BREWERS
American Family Field. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf
Final
Cubs
6
BREWERS
8
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 6–8 Brewers
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Brewers this season
92–67
58% across 159 games