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Saturday · August 22 · 1:10 PM ✦

BRAVES @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

Braves 1
BREWERS 4

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 1–4 Brewers

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 67% 33% 5–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 64% 36% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Atlanta Braves 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 46% 54% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 57% 43% 4–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games