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Friday · August 21 · 3:10 PM ✦

BRAVES @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 75 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Braves 1
BREWERS 2

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 1–2 Brewers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 46% 54% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 50% 50% 4–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games