← Back to the recap

Saturday · August 8 · 6:10 pm ✦

TWINS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Twins 3
BREWERS 4

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 3–4 Brewers

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 58% 42% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Minnesota Twins 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 45% 55% — ✓
Consensus Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games