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Wednesday · August 5 ✦

PIRATES @ BREWERS

American Family Field.

Final

Pirates 2
BREWERS 4

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–4 Brewers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 35% 65% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 60% 40% 4–4
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 42% 58%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 42% 58%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 46% 54% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

68–56

55% across 124 games

Brewers this season

70–53

57% across 123 games