Thursday · August 6 ✦
PIRATES @ BREWERS
American Family Field.
Final
Pirates
2
BREWERS
5
Our Pick
MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–5 Brewers
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 65% | 35% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Milwaukee Brewers | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 25% | 75% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Milwaukee Brewers | 48% | 52% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Brewers this season
92–67
58% across 159 games