Tuesday · August 4 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ BREWERS
American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Pirates
2
BREWERS
4
Our Pick
MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–4 Brewers
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Milwaukee Brewers | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Milwaukee Brewers | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Milwaukee Brewers | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Brewers this season
92–67
58% across 159 games