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Monday · August 3 · 6:40 pm ✦

PIRATES @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

PIRATES 4
Brewers 3

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 4–3 Pirates

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% 4–4
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 48% 52%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 36% 64%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 48% 52% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

68–56

55% across 124 games

Brewers this season

70–53

57% across 123 games