Monday · August 3 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ BREWERS
American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PIRATES
4
Brewers
3
Our Pick
MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 4–3 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Milwaukee Brewers | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Milwaukee Brewers | 48% | 52% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Brewers this season
92–67
58% across 159 games