← Back to the recap

Tuesday · July 21 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

METS 4
Brewers 0

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 4–0 Mets

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Brewers Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 60% 40% 5–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 64% 36% 4–3 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 37% 63% — ✗
Consensus New York Mets 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Brewers this season

92–68

57% across 160 games