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Monday · July 20 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Mets 3
BREWERS 8

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 3–8 Brewers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Brewers Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic New York Mets 55% 45%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 39% 61%
Consensus New York Mets 52% 48% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

69–55

56% across 124 games

Brewers this season

71–53

57% across 124 games