Monday · July 20 · 6:40 pm ✦
METS @ BREWERS
American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mets
3
BREWERS
8
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 3–8 Brewers
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Brewers this season
92–68
57% across 160 games