Back to the recap

Thursday · July 2 · 1:10 PM ✦

REDS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 88 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph in from rf

Final

REDS 7
Brewers 2

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 7–2 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 60% 40% 3–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 40% 60%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

48–36

57% across 84 games

Brewers this season

49–35

58% across 84 games