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Thursday · July 2 · 1:10 PM ✦

REDS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 88 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph in from rf

Final

REDS 7
Brewers 2

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 7–2 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 60% 40% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% — ✗
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 40% 60% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Brewers this season

92–68

57% across 160 games