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Friday · July 17 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARLINS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Marlins 1
BREWERS 2

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 1–2 Brewers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 67% 33% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 53% 47%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 39% 61%
Consensus Miami Marlins 52% 48% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

68–56

55% across 124 games

Brewers this season

71–53

57% across 124 games