Friday · July 17 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ BREWERS
American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Marlins
1
BREWERS
2
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 1–2 Brewers
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Milwaukee Brewers | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Brewers this season
92–68
57% across 160 games