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Wednesday · July 1 · 7:10 pm ✦

REDS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph r to l

Final

Reds 2
BREWERS 4

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–4 Brewers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 42% 58% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 31% 69% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 54% 46% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 46% 54% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Brewers this season

92–68

57% across 160 games