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Tuesday · June 30 · 6:40 pm ✦

REDS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 93 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 16 mph r to l

Final

Reds 2
BREWERS 7

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–7 Brewers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 52% 48% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games

Brewers this season

92–68

57% across 160 games