Back to the recap

Friday · June 12 · 6:40 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Phillies 0
BREWERS 6

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 0–6 Brewers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 51% 49% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 37% 63%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 52% 48% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

56–30

65% across 86 games

Brewers this season

50–35

59% across 85 games