← Back to the recap

Wednesday · May 27 · 12:40 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 69 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r

Final

Cardinals 1
BREWERS 2

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 1–2 Brewers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Brewers Projected Result
Baseline St. Louis Cardinals 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 35% 65% — ✓
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% — ✓
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 50% 50% 4–3 ✓
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games

Brewers this season

92–69

57% across 161 games