← Back to the recap

Saturday · May 23 ✦

DODGERS @ BREWERS

American Family Field.

Final

DODGERS 11
Brewers 3

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 11–3 Dodgers

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 35% 65% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 40% 60% — ✗
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% — ✓
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 43% 57% 3–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–59

63% across 159 games

Brewers this season

92–69

57% across 161 games