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Thursday · May 14 · 12:40 PM ✦

PADRES @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 63 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

Padres 1
BREWERS 7

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 1–7 Brewers

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 51% 49%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 33% 67%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games