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Tuesday · May 12 ✦

PADRES @ BREWERS

American Family Field.

Final

Padres 4
BREWERS 6

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 4–6 Brewers

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Brewers Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 38% 62%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 38% 62%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 45% 55% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games