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Wednesday · May 13 · 6:40 PM ✦

PADRES @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 65 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

PADRES 3
Brewers 1

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 3–1 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Brewers Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 64% 36% 4–2 ✓
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 41% 59% — ✗
Consensus San Diego Padres 52% 48% 4–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Brewers this season

92–69

57% across 161 games