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Saturday · May 9 ✦

YANKEES @ BREWERS

American Family Field.

Final

Yankees 3
BREWERS 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 3–4 Brewers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Brewers Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 67% 33% 4–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 41% 59%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 37% 63%
Consensus New York Yankees 50% 50% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games