Back to the recap

Thursday · April 30 · 12:41 PM ✦

D-BACKS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 64 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

D-backs 1
BREWERS 13

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 1–13 Brewers

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 60% 40% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 4–4
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 27% 73%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 45% 55% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

27–18

60% across 45 games

Brewers this season

27–17

61% across 44 games