Sunday · April 26 · 1:10 PM ✦
PIRATES @ BREWERS
American Family Field. · 62 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Pirates
0
BREWERS
5
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 0–5 Brewers
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Milwaukee Brewers | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games
Brewers this season
27–17
61% across 44 games