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Saturday · April 25 · 6:10 PM ✦

PIRATES @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 62 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

PIRATES 6
Brewers 3

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 6–3 Pirates

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 4–4
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 48% 52% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games

Brewers this season

27–17

61% across 44 games