Thursday · April 16 · 12:40 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ BREWERS
American Family Field. · 71 degrees, roof closed, wind 8 mph in from lf
Final
Blue Jays
1
BREWERS
2
Our Pick
MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 1–2 Brewers
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Milwaukee Brewers | 31% | 69% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Milwaukee Brewers | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
20–26
43% across 46 games
Brewers this season
27–17
61% across 44 games