Sunday · April 12 · 1:10 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ BREWERS
American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
NATIONALS
8
Brewers
6
Our Pick
MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 8–6 Nationals
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Brewers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 35% | 65% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Milwaukee Brewers | 35% | 65% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 77% | 23% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Milwaukee Brewers | 50% | 50% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–21
56% across 48 games
Brewers this season
27–17
61% across 44 games