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Saturday · April 11 · 6:10 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

NATIONALS 3
Brewers 1

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–1 Nationals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 35% 65% 2–4
Logistic Washington Nationals 57% 43%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 80% 20%
Consensus Washington Nationals 53% 47% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–21

56% across 48 games

Brewers this season

27–17

61% across 44 games