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Wednesday · April 1 · 12:40 PM ✦

RAYS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 62 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Rays 2
BREWERS 8

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–8 Brewers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 30% 70%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 49% 51% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games

Brewers this season

27–17

61% across 44 games