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Monday · March 30 · 6:40 pm ✦

RAYS @ BREWERS

American Family Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

RAYS 3
Brewers 2

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 3–2 Rays

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Brewers Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 35% 65% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 40% 60% 3–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 47% 53%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 69% 31%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 48% 52% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games

Brewers this season

27–17

61% across 44 games