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Sunday · September 27 · 3:10 PM ✦

BRAVES @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Braves 3
MARLINS 5

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 2–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 3–5 Marlins

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 38% 62% 2–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 44% 56% 2–2 ✓
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 38% 62% 2–3 ✓
Logistic Atlanta Braves 57% 43% — ✗
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 60% 40% — ✗
Consensus Miami Marlins 47% 53% 2–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games