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Sunday · September 13 · 1:41 PM ✦

DODGERS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Dodgers 4
MARLINS 6

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 4–6 Marlins

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 55% 45% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 64% 36% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 5–4 ✗
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Miami Marlins 32% 68% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 54% 46% 4–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–57

64% across 157 games

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games