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Wednesday · September 9 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

METS 15
Marlins 14

Our Pick

MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 15–14 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Marlins Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Miami Marlins 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Logistic New York Mets 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Miami Marlins 34% 66% — ✗
Consensus Miami Marlins 50% 50% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games