Saturday · September 12 · 4:10 PM ✦
DODGERS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Dodgers
3
MARLINS
4
Our Pick
LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 3–4 Marlins
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Dodgers | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Los Angeles Dodgers | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Los Angeles Dodgers | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Los Angeles Dodgers | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Dodgers this season
100–57
64% across 157 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games