Monday · September 7 · 1:11 PM ✦
METS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
METS
9
Marlins
4
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 9–4 Mets
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 45% | 55% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games