Saturday · September 5 · 4:12 PM ✦
CUBS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
CUBS
6
Marlins
5
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 5–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 6–5 Cubs
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games