Wednesday · August 26 · 6:40 PM ✦
RED SOX @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Red Sox
0
MARLINS
4
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 0–4 Marlins
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games