Tuesday · August 25 · 6:40 pm ✦
RED SOX @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
RED SOX
7
Marlins
3
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 7–3 Red Sox
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 31% | 69% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games