Sunday · August 23 · 1:42 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Nationals
2
MARLINS
6
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 2–6 Marlins
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 25% | 75% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 25% | 75% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games