Monday · August 24 · 6:40 pm ✦
RED SOX @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
RED SOX
4
Marlins
2
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–2 Red Sox
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 50% | 50% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games