Thursday · August 13 · 1:10 PM ✦
PIRATES @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PIRATES
13
Marlins
1
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 13–1 Pirates
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 2–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 36% | 64% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 67% | 33% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games