Friday · August 21 · 7:10 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Nationals
2
MARLINS
3
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 2–3 Marlins
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
67–56
54% across 123 games
Marlins this season
66–56
54% across 122 games