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Friday · August 21 · 7:10 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Nationals 2
MARLINS 3

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 2–3 Marlins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 44% 56% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 53% 47% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Miami Marlins 48% 52%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 53% 47%
Consensus Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

67–56

54% across 123 games

Marlins this season

66–56

54% across 122 games