Saturday · August 22 · 4:10 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ MARLINS
loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Nationals
2
MARLINS
4
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 2–4 Marlins
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Marlins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games