Back to the recap

Tuesday · August 11 · 6:40 pm ✦

PIRATES @ MARLINS

loanDepot park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Pirates 0
MARLINS 2

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 0–2 Marlins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Marlins Projected Result
Baseline Miami Marlins 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Miami Marlins 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 52% 48%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 34% 66%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 49% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

68–56

55% across 124 games

Marlins this season

67–56

54% across 123 games